Arizona Election Results — What We Know So Far

First, we must mention that Arizona doesn’t certify final election results until November 10, at the earliest. This is a long-time Arizona law, so it’s not unusual for us to wait at least a week to know our winners. However, here is what we do know as of this writing (Tuesday, November 10). So stay tuned as we’ll be sure to update you again once the election results are final!

Presidential Race

All eyes were on Arizona last week as votes began to be tallied across the state. Although some news organizations quickly projected Biden as the winner in Arizona, others chose a more cautious approach. Early returns showed Joe Biden with a commanding lead, and as additional ballots were counted, Biden held that lead, but it has narrowed. Currently, Biden leads by about 14,800 votes. There are still around 63,000 ballots left to count statewide, with over half of those ballots coming from Maricopa County. If current trends continue with the remaining ballots, Biden will win Arizona’s 11 electoral votes. Regardless of the outcome here in Arizona, major media outlets projected that Biden would become president-elect after appearing to secure enough votes to capture Pennsylvania’s 20 electoral votes on Saturday morning.

Congressional Races

The projected winner of the election to fill the late Sen. John McCain’s Senate seat is Democrat Mark Kelly. He defeated Republican appointee Martha McSally in one of the few Democratic pickups nationally. As this is a special election, Kelly will have to run for reelection again in 2022. For the nine congressional seats in the U.S. House, at this time, it looks as though all incumbents will be re-elected and the delegation would remain at five Democrats and four Republicans.

Legislative Races

Early on, it looked like the Arizona House would shift to Democratic party control, but based on the vote counts, it seems more likely that Republicans will maintain control of both chambers by the slimmest of margins. There are still uncounted votes that could cause a few of the close races to flip, but with current vote totals, this is the most likely outcome. The current makeup of the House would stay the same, slight Republican majority, and Democrats would pick up one seat in the Senate, bringing the makeup to 16 Republicans and 14 Democrats. Names with asterisks are ArMPAC-endorsed candidates.

Ballot Propositions

While several other races are uncertain right now, both ballot measures have strong indications of passage. Prop. 207, the Smart and Safe Arizona Act, to legalize recreational marijuana has about 60% ‘yes’ votes. Prop. 208, the Invest in Education Act, which adds a tax surcharge on the wealthiest income brackets, currently has 52% ‘yes’ votes.